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Felipe Santos-Marquez Abstract Homicide rates are forecasted for 1120 inland municipalities in Colombia. Using data from 2003 to 2018, five different forecasting methods are used: ETS, ARIMA, STAR, a classical beta convergence based model and a spatial beta convergence model.

Felipe Santos and Carlos Mendez Abstract This paper studies convergence and spatial autocorrelation of homicide rates in municipalities and departments in Colombia. Indicators of sigma convergence are found only at the state level.

Felipe Santos and Carlos Mendez prepared for the 2019 ARSC at Saga Univeristy Abstract This paper studies convergence and spatial autocorrelation of homicide rates in municipalities and departments in Colombia. Indicators of sigma convergence are found only at the state level.